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Article
Quantifying Recent Acceleration in Sea Level Unrelated to Internal Climate Variability
Geophysical Research Letters
  • F. M. Calafat, University of South Florida
  • D. P. Chambers, University of South Florida
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-1-2013
Keywords
  • sea level,
  • acceleration,
  • tide gauge,
  • internal climate variability,
  • external forcing
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50731
Disciplines
Abstract

[1] Sea level observations suggest that the rate of sea level rise has accelerated during the last 20 years. However, the presence of considerable decadal-scale variability, especially on a regional scale, makes it difficult to assess whether the observed changes are due to natural or anthropogenic causes. Here we use a regression model with atmospheric pressure, wind, and climate indices as independent variables to quantify the contribution of internal climate variability to the sea level at nine tide gauges from around the world for the period 1920–2011. Removing this contribution reveals a statistically significant acceleration (0.022 ± 0.015 mm/yr2) between 1952 and 2011, which is unique over the whole period. Furthermore, we have found that the acceleration is increasing over time. This acceleration appears to be the result of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, along with changes in volcanic forcing and tropospheric aerosol loading.

Rights Information
Default Rights Statement
Citation / Publisher Attribution

Geophysical Research Letters, v. 40, issue 14, p. 3661-3666

©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.

Citation Information
F. M. Calafat and D. P. Chambers. "Quantifying Recent Acceleration in Sea Level Unrelated to Internal Climate Variability" Geophysical Research Letters Vol. 40 Iss. 14 (2013) p. 3661 - 3666
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/don_chambers/68/