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The Impact of Ethanol Production on US and Regional Gasoline Markets: An Update to May 2009
CARD Working Papers
  • Xiaodong Du, Iowa State University
  • Dermot J. Hayes, Iowa State University
Publication Date
4-1-2011
Series Number
11-WP 523
Abstract
This report updates the findings in Du and Hayes 2009 by extending the data to December 2010 and concludes that over the sample period from January 2000 to December 2010, the growth in ethanol production reduced wholesale gasoline prices by $0.25 per gallon on average. The Midwest region experienced the biggest impact, with a $0.39/gallon reduction, while the East Coast had the smallest impact at $0.16/gallon. Based on the data of 2010 only, the marginal impacts on gasoline prices are found to be substantially higher given the much higher ethanol production and crude oil prices. The average effect increases to $0.89/gallon and the regional impact ranges from $0.58/gallon in the East Coast to $1.37/gallon in the Midwest. In addition, we report on a related analysis that asks what would happen to US gasoline prices if ethanol production came to an immediate halt. Under a very wide range of parameters, the estimated gasoline price increase would be of historic proportions, ranging from 41% to 92%.
Citation Information
Xiaodong Du and Dermot J. Hayes. "The Impact of Ethanol Production on US and Regional Gasoline Markets: An Update to May 2009" (2011)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/dermot_hayes/71/