Utah State University Department of Economics
Copyright for this work is held by the author. Transmission or reproduction of materials protected by copyright beyond that allowed by fair use requires the written permission of the copyright owners. Works not in the public domain cannot be commercially exploited without permission of the copyright owner. Responsibility for any use rests exclusively with the user. For more information contact the Institutional Repository Librarian at firstname.lastname@example.org.
This paper investigates the response of beef cattle producers to changes in the price of cattle. Previous research has suggested that there may be a negative short-run supply response to a permanent increase in the price of cattle. We build a dynamic, rational expectations model that predicts that the supply response is generally positive, even for permanent shocks in the short run, and nests the negative supply response as a special case for appropriately restricted demand shocks. Using annual U.S. time-series data (1930-1997) and a simultaneous-equations econometric approach, we find a positive short-run supply response in the cow market and mixed evidence in the heifer market.
David Aadland, DeeVon Bailey and Shelly Feng. "A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation of the Supply Response in the U.S. Beef-Cattle Industry" Economics Research Institute Study Paper
Vol. 12 (2000) p. 1 - 38
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/deevon_bailey/187/