Utah State University Department of Economics
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An analysis is conducted to determine if USDA forecasts of beef and pork production and supply have improved over time (1982-96). Beef production and supply forecasts have improved during the study period, but pork has not. The results are consistent with findings that the variability in beef prices has decreased, but the variability in pork prices has not.
DeeVon Bailey. "Trends in the Accuracy of USDA Production Forecasts For Beef and Pork" Economics Research Institute Study Paper
Vol. 17 (1997) p. 1 - 14
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/deevon_bailey/175/