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Article
Dynamic Multinomial Ordered Choice with an Application to the Estimation of Monetary Policy Rules
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics (2007)
  • Deepankar Basu, University of Massachusetts - Amherst
  • Robert M de Jong
Abstract
We present a novel specification of a dynamic multinomial ordered choice model, where the latent variable is a function of strictly stationary exogenous variables and lags of the choice variable. We prove that such a model with weakly dependent errors will have a strictly stationary solution which is L-2 near epoch dependent. We also derive consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator for a probit specification of the model. We illustrate a possible application of the model by estimating a discrete version of a robust ``difference" monetary policy rule for the period 1990:2006 at a monthly frequency.
Disciplines
Publication Date
December, 2007
Publisher Statement
DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1507
Citation Information
Deepankar Basu and Robert M de Jong. "Dynamic Multinomial Ordered Choice with an Application to the Estimation of Monetary Policy Rules" Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics Vol. 11 Iss. 4 (2007)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/deepankar_dasu/2/