Skip to main content
Article
Continuous Futures Contract Data for Computational Intelligence
Proceedings of the International Annual Conference of the American Society for Engineering Management (2016, Charlotte, NC)
  • Phoebe Wiles
  • David Lee Enke, Missouri University of Science and Technology
Abstract

Given that futures contracts have short durations, data manipulation is needed to create longer price history for back testing when developing forecasting models. Various approaches have been used to develop longer datasets, each with its own advantages and disadvantages. A research study was conducted to investigate three different approaches for creating longer and continuous soybean futures datasets: the Gann method, the nearest-contract method, and the back-adjusted contract method. Although the Gann method has received little recognition due to possible disadvantages with the rolling methods, low volume, and low open interest, the results show that creating a Gann contract rolled in the manner proposed creates a method that is a viable alternative to the other approaches tested for long-term trading.

Meeting Name
International Annual Conference of the American Society for Engineering Management, ASEM 2016 (2016: Oct. 26-29, Charlotte, NC)
Department(s)
Engineering Management and Systems Engineering
Research Center/Lab(s)
Intelligent Systems Center
Keywords and Phrases
  • Electronic trading,
  • Forecasting,
  • Neural networks,
  • Data manipulations,
  • Forecasting models,
  • Futures contract,
  • Open interest,
  • Research studies,
  • Rolling methods,
  • Short durations,
  • Soybean futures,
  • Contracts,
  • Gann contracts,
  • Rolling contracts,
  • Soybean futures
International Standard Book Number (ISBN)
978-1-5108-3452-1
Document Type
Article - Conference proceedings
Document Version
Citation
File Type
text
Language(s)
English
Rights
© 2016 American Society for Engineering Management (ASEM), All rights reserved.
Publication Date
10-1-2016
Publication Date
01 Oct 2016
Citation Information
Phoebe Wiles and David Lee Enke. "Continuous Futures Contract Data for Computational Intelligence" Proceedings of the International Annual Conference of the American Society for Engineering Management (2016, Charlotte, NC) (2016) p. 27 - 32
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/david-enke/40/