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Trader Behavior under an Evolving Stock Market Environment
Intelligent Systems Through Artificial Neural Networks Smart Engineering Systems Design; Infra-Structure Systems Engineering Bio-Informatics and Computational Biology, and Evolutionary Programming
  • David Lee Enke, Missouri University of Science and Technology
  • Nil H. Kilicay
  • Sreeram Ramakrishnan, Missouri University of Science and Technology
  • Cihan H. Dagli, Missouri University of Science and Technology
Abstract

This paper presents a multi-agent financial market simulation. The market is composed of traders who have different initial trading biases to take a specific action. Traders not only buy or sell an asset, but also cover their position in the following periods. Trading strategies are generated using stock price movements and other technical indicators. An XCS learning classifier system is used as an individual learning mechanism to implement the evolution of trader strategies. The results reveal that initial trader bias affects market price dynamics and evolutionary learning prevents the market from crashing, stabilizing the system. Covering mechanisms clearly illustrate the intermediate and minor trend following behaviors of traders. The results contribute to the understanding of potential deviations from efficient market equilibrium.

Department(s)
Engineering Management and Systems Engineering
Keywords and Phrases
  • Financial Market Simulation,
  • Market Equilibrium,
  • Trader Bias,
  • Trading Strategies
Document Type
Article - Conference proceedings
Document Version
Citation
File Type
text
Language(s)
English
Rights
© 2006 American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME), All rights reserved.
Publication Date
1-1-2006
Publication Date
01 Jan 2006
Citation Information
David Lee Enke, Nil H. Kilicay, Sreeram Ramakrishnan and Cihan H. Dagli. "Trader Behavior under an Evolving Stock Market Environment" Intelligent Systems Through Artificial Neural Networks Smart Engineering Systems Design; Infra-Structure Systems Engineering Bio-Informatics and Computational Biology, and Evolutionary Programming (2006)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/david-enke/25/