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Article
Uncertainty in Euro area and the bond spreads
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
  • Konstantinos Gkillas, Panepistimion Patron
  • Athanasios Tsagkanos, Panepistimion Patron
  • Argyro Svingou, Panepistimion Patron
  • Costas Siriopoulos, Zayed University
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-1-2020
Abstract

© 2019 Elsevier B.V. We investigate potential mean and volatility spillovers among sovereign bond yield spreads for five peripheral countries of the euro area. We focus on Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain during the European sovereign debt crisis. We propose a bootstrap bias-corrected bivariate Vector Autoregressive Moving Average (VARMA), GARCH-in-Mean, asymmetric BEKK model, and find that the level and the volatility of a bond yield spread are mainly dependent on its own past volatility, and thus, its past shocks mainly affect its volatility. Based on our findings, we suggest that the number one priority of the European policymakers be the economic and financial integration of the European peripheral countries into the core.

Publisher
Elsevier B.V.
Disciplines
Keywords
  • Asymmetric BEKK model,
  • Bond spreads,
  • European debt crisis,
  • Volatility spillovers
Scopus ID
85072295083
Indexed in Scopus
Yes
Open Access
No
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2019.122643
Citation Information
Konstantinos Gkillas, Athanasios Tsagkanos, Argyro Svingou and Costas Siriopoulos. "Uncertainty in Euro area and the bond spreads" Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications Vol. 537 (2020) p. 122643 ISSN: <a href="https://v2.sherpa.ac.uk/id/publication/issn/0378-4371" target="_blank">0378-4371</a>
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/costas-syriopoulos/41/