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Article
The January barometer in emerging markets: New evidence from the Gulf Cooperation Council stock exchanges
Investment Management and Financial Innovations
  • Costas Siriopoulos, Zayed University
  • Layal Youssef, Zayed University
ORCID Identifiers

0000-0003-1368-7182

Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-1-2019
Abstract

© Costas Siriopoulos, Layal Youssef, 2019 International investors' interest in the capital markets in the region of Gulf countries has dramatically increased in last two decades. Thus, it would be motivating to investigate their characteristics, where the January anomaly is a major one. This paper studies the veracity of the January effect rule in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets and examines the predictive power of January returns. Seven GCC stock markets are tested - the market indices in Bahrain, Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia - from January 1, 2001 until December 31, 2018, a timeframe which has rarely been analyzed. Ordinary least square (OLS)-based dummy variable regression equation was used as the conventional econometric procedure in the works of financial calendar anomalies in stock markets. Some evidence is reported for the markets of Dubai and Kuwait. The paper also provides an additional explanation for the performance of stock market of Kuwait. The findings are opposite to the well documented evidence that emerging markets are less efficient and hence it is likely that several market anomalies are further pronounced. The results suggest that the predictive power of the January anomaly can be considered as a temporary anomaly in the GCC markets, since it is concentrated in only a couple of GCC markets and does not persist in time.

Publisher
LLC CPC Business Perspectives
Disciplines
Keywords
  • Calendar anomalies,
  • GCC,
  • Halloween effect,
  • January barometer,
  • Other January effect
Scopus ID
85078094252
Creative Commons License
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Indexed in Scopus
Yes
Open Access
Yes
Open Access Type
Gold: This publication is openly available in an open access journal/series
Citation Information
Costas Siriopoulos and Layal Youssef. "The January barometer in emerging markets: New evidence from the Gulf Cooperation Council stock exchanges" Investment Management and Financial Innovations Vol. 16 Iss. 4 (2019) p. 61 - 71 ISSN: <a href="https://v2.sherpa.ac.uk/id/publication/issn/1810-4967" target="_blank">1810-4967</a>
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/costas-syriopoulos/34/