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Article
Heterogeneous effects in the international transmission of the US monetary policy: a factor-augmented VAR perspective
Empirical Economics
  • Anastasios Evgenidis, Newcastle University, United Kingdom
  • Dionisis Philippas, ESSCA School of Management
  • Costas Siriopoulos, Zayed University
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
5-15-2019
Abstract

© 2018, The Author(s). This paper analyses the international transmission of US monetary policy shocks. We use a time-varying, factor-augmented VAR framework to examine how and to what extent the propagation of US policy shocks affects the South East Asian (SEA) and European Union (EU) economies, through various transmission channels. We find that in the SEA economies, the income absorption effect is the most pronounced channel as indicated by the significant worsening of the trade balance of these countries, which provokes a reduction in their output. In addition, wealth effects and the balance sheet channel have an important contribution in the transmission of the shock to these economies. In the EU, the initial rise observed in output as a result of the shock is driven more by exchange rate movements rather than movements in the trade balance. In terms of changes in the magnitude of the effect of the shock over time, we find that the deepening of global integration dampens the effect of the shock on the foreign economies in core macroeconomic and financial variables. Moreover, the impact of the shock on the foreign economies has increased in the post-crisis period.

Publisher
Springer Verlag
Disciplines
Keywords
  • Bayesian techniques,
  • Factor-augmented VAR,
  • Monetary policy,
  • Time-varying parameters,
  • Transmission channels
Scopus ID
85048558941
Creative Commons License
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Indexed in Scopus
Yes
Open Access
Yes
Open Access Type
Hybrid: This publication is openly available in a subscription-based journal/series
Citation Information
Anastasios Evgenidis, Dionisis Philippas and Costas Siriopoulos. "Heterogeneous effects in the international transmission of the US monetary policy: a factor-augmented VAR perspective" Empirical Economics Vol. 56 Iss. 5 (2019) p. 1549 - 1579 ISSN: <a href="https://v2.sherpa.ac.uk/id/publication/issn/0377-7332" target="_blank">0377-7332</a>
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/costas-syriopoulos/24/