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Unpublished Paper
Heterogeneous Impacts on Layoffs of Changes in Brazilian Unemployment Insurance Eligibility Rules
Upjohn Institute Working Papers
  • Túlio Cravo, African Development Bank
  • Christopher J. O'Leary, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research
  • Ana Cristina Sierra, Inter-American Development Bank
  • Leandro Justino Veloso, Inter-American Development Bank
Upjohn Author ORCID Identifier

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3372-7527

Publication Date
2-6-2020
Series
Upjohn Institute working paper ; 20-318
**Published Version**
In Economics Letters 197: 109612
DOI
10.17848/wp20-318
Abstract

This paper is based on the first use of program administrative data from Brazil’s unemployment insurance (UI) program to assess the impact of changes in UI eligibility criteria on layoff probabilities. We exploit exogenous program changes introduced by executive and legislative changes in 2015 to estimate impacts while accounting for the number of prior UI benefit requests. We estimate that changes in UI eligibility criteria had heterogeneous impacts distinguished by the number of prior benefit requests. We show that the 2015 changes in UI eligibility rules reduced layoffs and find evidence that the changes reduced collusion between workers and employers for layoffs because it became harder to extract subsidies from the UI system. The layoff reductions were greatest before workers' second benefit request.

Issue Date
January 2020, Revised October 2020
Citation Information
Cravo, Túlio, Christopher J. O'Leary, Ana Cristina Sierra, and Leandro Justino Veloso. 2020. "Heterogeneous Impacts on Layoffs of Changes in Brazilian Unemployment Insurance Eligibility Rules." Upjohn Institute Working Paper 20-318. Kalamazoo, MI: W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.