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Article
Modeling Regional Disease Spread Over Time Using a Dynamic Spatio-temporal Model – With an Application to Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus data in Iowa, U.S.
Preventive Veterinary Medicine
  • J. Ji, Iowa State University
  • Chong Wang, Iowa State University
  • M. Rotolo, Iowa State University
  • Jeffrey J. Zimmerman, Iowa State University
Document Type
Article
Publication Version
Accepted Manuscript
Publication Date
6-20-2020
DOI
10.1016/j.prevetmed.2020.105053
Abstract

Regional surveillance is important for detecting the incursion of new pathogens and informing disease monitoring and control programs. Modeling disease distribution over time can provide insight into the development of more efficient regional surveillance approaches. Herein we propose a Bayesian spatio-temporal model to describe the distribution of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus (PEDV) in Iowa USA. Model parameters are estimated through a Bayesian spatio-temporal model approach which can account for missing values. For illustration, we apply the proposed model to PEDV test results from the Iowa State University Veterinary Diagnostic Laboratory (ISU-VDL). A simulation study carried out to evaluate the model showed that the proposed model captured the pattern of PEDV distribution and its spatio-temporal dependence.

Comments

This is a manuscript of an article published as Ji, J., C. Wang, M. Rotolo, and J. Zimmerman. "Modeling Regional Disease Spread Over Time Using a Dynamic Spatio-temporal Model–With an Application to Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus data in Iowa, US." Preventive Veterinary Medicine (2020): 105053. DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2020.105053. Posted with permission.

Creative Commons License
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 International
Copyright Owner
Elsevier B.V.
Language
en
File Format
application/pdf
Citation Information
J. Ji, Chong Wang, M. Rotolo and Jeffrey J. Zimmerman. "Modeling Regional Disease Spread Over Time Using a Dynamic Spatio-temporal Model – With an Application to Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus data in Iowa, U.S." Preventive Veterinary Medicine (2020) p. 105053
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/chong-wang/117/