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Global Patterns and Controls of Soil Organic Carbon Dynamics as Simulated by Multiple Terrestrial Biosphere Models: Current Status and Future Directions
Global Biogeochemical Cycles (2015)
  • Hanqin Tian, Auburn University Main Campus
  • Chaoqun (Crystal) Lu, Auburn University Main Campus
  • Jia Yang, Auburn University Main Campus
  • Kamaljit Banger, Auburn University Main Campus
  • Denorah N. Huntzinger, Northern Arizona University
  • Christopher R. Schwalm, Northern Arizona University
  • Anna M. Michalak
  • Robert Cook, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  • Philippe Ciais
  • Daniel Hayes, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  • Maoyi Huang
  • Akihiko Ito
  • Atul K. Jain, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
  • Huimin Lei, Tsinghua University
  • Jiafu Mao, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  • Shufen Pan, Auburn University Main Campus
  • Wilfred M. Post, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  • Shushi Peng
  • Benjamin Poulter
  • Wei Ren, Auburn University Main Campus
  • Daniel Ricciuto, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  • Kevin Schaefer
  • Xiaoying Shi, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  • Bo Tao, Auburn University Main Campus
  • Weile Wang
  • Yaxing Wei, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  • Qichun Yang, Auburn University Main Campus
  • Bowen Zhang, Auburn University Main Campus
  • Ning Zeng, University of Maryland - College Park
Abstract

Soil is the largest organic carbon (C) pool of terrestrial ecosystems, and C loss from soil accounts for a large proportion of land-atmosphere C exchange. Therefore, a small change in soil organic C (SOC) can affect atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration and climate change. In the past decades, a wide variety of studies have been conducted to quantify global SOC stocks and soil C exchange with the atmosphere through site measurements, inventories, and empirical/process-based modeling. However, these estimates are highly uncertain, and identifying major driving forces controlling soil C dynamics remains a key research challenge. This study has compiled century-long (1901–2010) estimates of SOC storage and heterotrophic respiration (Rh) from 10 terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) in the Multi-scale Synthesis and Terrestrial Model Intercomparison Project and two observation-based data sets. The 10 TBM ensemble shows that global SOC estimate ranges from 425 to 2111 Pg C (1 Pg = 1015 g) with a median value of 1158 Pg C in 2010. The models estimate a broad range of Rh from 35 to 69 Pg C yr−1 with a median value of 51 Pg C yr−1 during 2001–2010. The largest uncertainty in SOC stocks exists in the 40–65°N latitude whereas the largest cross-model divergence in Rh are in the tropics. The modeled SOC change during 1901–2010 ranges from −70 Pg C to 86 Pg C, but in some models the SOC change has a different sign from the change of total C stock, implying very different contribution of vegetation and soil pools in determining the terrestrial C budget among models. The model ensemble-estimated mean residence time of SOC shows a reduction of 3.4 years over the past century, which accelerate C cycling through the land biosphere. All the models agreed that climate and land use changes decreased SOC stocks, while elevated atmospheric CO2 and nitrogen deposition over intact ecosystems increased SOC stocks—even though the responses varied significantly among models. Model representations of temperature and moisture sensitivity, nutrient limitation, and land use partially explain the divergent estimates of global SOC stocks and soil C fluxes in this study. In addition, a major source of systematic error in model estimations relates to nonmodeled SOC storage in wetlands and peatlands, as well as to old C storage in deep soil layers.

Keywords
  • soil organic carbon (SOC),
  • heterotrophic respiration (Rh),
  • mean residence time (MRT),
  • soil carbon dynamics model,
  • belowground processes,
  • uncertainty
Publication Date
June, 2015
Publisher Statement
Works produced by employees of the U.S. Government as part of their official duties are not copyrighted within the U.S. The content of this document is not copyrighted.
Citation Information
Hanqin Tian, Chaoqun (Crystal) Lu, Jia Yang, Kamaljit Banger, et al.. "Global Patterns and Controls of Soil Organic Carbon Dynamics as Simulated by Multiple Terrestrial Biosphere Models: Current Status and Future Directions" Global Biogeochemical Cycles Vol. 29 Iss. 6 (2015)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/chaoqun_lu/3/