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Selected Works of C. Eduardo Siqueira
Article
Analysis of COVID 19 mortality and case fatality in a low income region of Brazil.pdf
Journal of Human Development and Growth (2021)
  • Carlos Eduardo Siqueira
  • Luiz C de Abreu, Federal University of Espírito Santo
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Abstract
Introduction: Inserted in the vulnerable context of the Brazilian Amazon,  the  state  of  Tocantins  has  suffered  damages  with the  dissemination  of  COVID-19  in  its  territory;  however,  little evidence is published from this state.
Objective:   This   study   aims   to   analyze   the   case-fatality, mortality, and incidence of COVID-19 in Tocantins.
Methods: This is an ecological study, population-based, time- series analysis of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the state of Tocantins from March 2020 to August 2021.
Results:  During  the  examined  period,  219,031  COVID-19 cases, and 3,594 deaths were registered due to disease. Two possible  occurrence  peaks  were  characterized  in  this  time- series 
analysis. Remarkably, the Second Wave had the highest lethality rates (3.02% - April 2021), mortality (39.81 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants – March 2021), and incidence (1,938.88 cases per 100,000 inhabitants – March 2021). At the end of the period,  mortality,  incidence,  and  
lethality  showed  flat  trends, suggesting a positive outcome of the vaccination program.
Conclusion: The prevention, surveillance, and control actions of
COVID-19 cases in Tocantins State have been directed to mitigate the deleterious effects of the pandemic. Nevertheless, efforts  are  
still  needed  to  decrease  lethality,  mortality,  and incidence  trends,  and  ultimately  to  achieve  control  of  the COVID-19 pandemic in the region.

Keywords
  • COVID-19,
  • case fatality,
  • incidence,
  • mortality,
  • trends.
Disciplines
Publication Date
October, 2021
DOI
10.36311/jhgd.v31.12744
Citation Information
Cesar AEM, Daboin BEG, Morais TC, Portugal I, Echeimberg JO, Rodrigues LMR, Jacintho LC, Raimundo RD, Elmusharaf K, Siqueira CE, de Abreu LC. Analysis of COVID-19 mortality and case-fatality in a low- income region: an ecological time-series study in Tocantins, Brazilian Amazon. J Hum Growth Dev. 2021; 31(3):483-493. DOI: 10.36311/jhgd.v31.12744
Creative Commons license
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons CC_BY-NC International License.