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How to Predict Future Duration from Present Age
The Philosophical Quarterly (2006)
  • Bradley Monton, University of Kentucky
  • Brian Kierland

The physicist J. Richard Gott has given an argument which, if good, allows one to make accurate predictions for the future longevity of a process, based solely on its present age. We show that there are problems with some of the details of Gott's argument, but we defend the core thesis: in many circumstances, the greater the present age of a process, the more likely a longer future duration.

Publication Date
January, 2006
Citation Information
Bradley Monton and Brian Kierland. "How to Predict Future Duration from Present Age" The Philosophical Quarterly Vol. 56 Iss. 222 (2006)
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