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Article
Complex Interstate Rivals
Foreign Policy Analysis (2016)
  • Brandon Valeriano, Ph.D, Seton Hall University
  • Matthew Powers, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Abstract
The goal of this article is to engage the concept of rivalry, analyze its possible deficiencies, and empirically identify which groups of states make up what we call complex rivals . A complex rivalry is defined as a group of at least three states whose relationships are linked by common issues, alignments, or dispute joiner dynamics in which there is a threat of militarized conflict and includes persistent long-term interactions and collective animosity. Once the cases that make up complex rivals are described, we examine the dynamics of conflict within complex rivalries. We show that complex rivals tend to follow a different path to war when compared to dyadic rivals in that they experience more war on average, are more likely to include major powers, and fight predominately over positional as opposed to spatial concerns.
Publication Date
October, 2016
DOI
10.1111/fpa.12057
Citation Information
Brandon Valeriano and Matthew Powers. "Complex Interstate Rivals" Foreign Policy Analysis Vol. 12 Iss. 4 (2016) p. 552 - 570 ISSN: 1743-8586
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/brandon-valeriano/20/