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Analysis of sectoral credit default cycle dependency with wavelet networks: Evidence from Turkey
Economic Modelling (2009)
  • Atilla Cifter, Marmara University
Abstract
In this paper, we investigate the relationship between industrial production and sectoral credit defaults (non-performing loans ratio) cycle by wavelet network analysis in Turkey over the period January 2001-November 2007. We use feedforward neural network based wavelet decomposition to analyze the contemporaneous connection between industrial production cycles and sectoral credit default cycles at different time scales between 2 and 64 months. The main findings for Turkey indicates that industrial production cycles effect the sectoral credit default cycles at different time scales and thus indicate that the creditors should consider the multiscale sectoral cycles in order to minimize credit default rates.
Keywords
  • Sectoral credit default cycles; Business cycles; Wavelets; Wavelet networks
Publication Date
2009
Citation Information
Atilla Cifter. "Analysis of sectoral credit default cycle dependency with wavelet networks: Evidence from Turkey" Economic Modelling (2009)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/atilla_cifter/10/