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Article
Asset Price Momentum and Monetary Policy: Time-varying Parameter Estimation of Taylor Rules
Applied Economics
  • Anastasios G Malliaris, Loyola University Chicago
  • Ramaprasad Bhar, The University of New South Wales
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
11-26-2016
Pages
5329-5339
Disciplines
Abstract

In this article, we consider two new independent variables as inputs to the Taylor Rule. These are the equity and housing momentum variables and are introduced to investigate the potential usefulness of these two variables in guiding the Fed to lean against potential bubbles. Such effectiveness cannot adequately be evaluated if the Taylor Rule estimation follows the standard regression methodology that has been criticized in the literature to be econometrically incorrect. Using a time-varying parameter estimation methodology, we find that equity momentum as an input in the Taylor Rule does not contribute to changes in Fed Funds. However, the housing momentum plays an important role econometrically and can be a useful tool in setting Fed Funds rates.

Comments

This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Applied Economics on May 26, 2014, available online: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00036846.2016.1176117?scroll=top&needAccess=true

Creative Commons License
Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0
Citation Information
Anastasios G Malliaris and Ramaprasad Bhar. "Asset Price Momentum and Monetary Policy: Time-varying Parameter Estimation of Taylor Rules" Applied Economics Vol. 48 Iss. 55 (2016)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/atassos-malliaris/9/