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Article
House Bubbles, Global Imbalances and Monetary Policy in the US
Journal of International Money and Finance
  • Anastasios Evgenidis, Newcastle University Business School
  • A. (Tassos) G. Malliaris, Loyola University Chicago
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
11-1-2023
Pages
1-16
Publisher Name
Elsevier
Disciplines
Abstract

This paper examines the factors driving housing price exuberance in the United States, specifically the influence of expansionary monetary policies and the global saving glut. We employ medium scale Bayesian VAR and time-varying VAR models to estimate the effects of monetary policy and global saving glut shocks on US housing bubbles. We find that, prior to the Global Financial Crisis, the impact of the saving glut shock is more enduring, powerful, and rapid in generating housing bubbles compared to monetary policy shocks. However, the recent housing boom that commenced in 2019 demonstrates a different pattern. Our results suggest that both monetary policy and the global saving glut contribute to the increase in house prices. Counterfactual policy experiments validate this conclusion.

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Author Posting © The Author(s), 2023. This article is posted here by permission of Elsevier for personal use and redistribution. This article was published open access in Journal of International Money and Finance, VOL.138, (November, 2023), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2023.102919

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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Citation Information
Anastasios Evgenidis and A. (Tassos) G. Malliaris. "House Bubbles, Global Imbalances and Monetary Policy in the US" Journal of International Money and Finance Vol. 138 (2023)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/atassos-malliaris/68/