Skip to main content
Article
Educating the Guess: Strategies, Concepts and Tools for the Fuzzy Front End of Product Development
Engineering and Technology Management Faculty Publications and Presentations
  • Antonie J. Jetter, Portland State University
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-1-2003
Subjects
  • New products,
  • Project management,
  • Decision making
Disciplines
Abstract

Many companies lack efficient management of the early phases of new product development (NPD) - the socalled fuzzy front end (FFE). Rather than on structured methods, decision makers rely on ?gut ?feel? or ?guessing?. In an attempt to ?educate the guess? this paper discusses the activities and challenges of the FFE, as well as strategies to manage them successfully. It then briefly presents traditional and recent approaches to front-end management support. Based on the identified strengths and weaknesses of existing front-end solutions, the framework of a new management support system for the FFE is presented. Conceptually, the system is based on psychological findings about the process of action-regulation in complex decision environments. Methodologically, it uses Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM) for modeling and simulation.

Description

This is the publisher's final pdf. Copyright 2003 by PICMET; permission to reprint received from PICMET.

Persistent Identifier
http://archives.pdx.edu/ds/psu/9849
Citation Information
Jetter, A. J. M. Educating the guess ? strategies, concepts and tools for the fuzzy front end of product development, Proceedings of PICMET 2003:Technology Management for Reshaping the World, pp. 261-272, July 20-24, 2003, Portland, OR