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Article
A Logit Methodology for Predicting the Imposition of Exchange Controls
Journal of Economics and Business (1991)
  • Ali M Fatemi, DePaul University
  • M. Hossein Safizadeh, Boston College
Abstract

This article explores the feasibility of using a logit methodology for predicting the imposition of exchange controls. Fourteen variables reflecting the yearly changes in the economic conditions of a country and 17 variables representing the yearly occurrences of sociopolitical events are used as the explanatory variables. Eight exchange controls imposed by the governments of Argentina, Peru, and Turkey during 1974–1986 are empirically investigated. The results show that economic and sociopolitical variables may be used for predicting the imposition of exchange controls.

Publication Date
1991
Citation Information
Ali M Fatemi and M. Hossein Safizadeh. "A Logit Methodology for Predicting the Imposition of Exchange Controls" Journal of Economics and Business Vol. 43 (1991)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/alifatemi/23/