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Article
The relationship between the option-implied volatility smile, stock returns and heterogeneous beliefs
Business Faculty Publications
  • Shu Feng, Clark University
  • Yi Zhang, Prairie View A&M University
  • Geoffrey C. Friesen, University of Nebraska–Lincoln
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
10-1-2015
Abstract

We study the relationship between stock returns and the implied volatility smile slope of call and put options. Stocks with a steeper put slope earn lower future returns, while stocks with a steeper call slope earn higher future returns. Using dispersion of opinion as a proxy for belief differences, we find that the slope-stock return relation is strongest for stocks with high belief differences. The idiosyncratic component of the put slope fully explains the negative risk-adjusted stock returns. For the call slope, the idiosyncratic component dominates the systematic one, and explains the positive risk-adjusted returns.

Citation Information
Shu Feng, Yi Zhang and Geoffrey C. Friesen. "The relationship between the option-implied volatility smile, stock returns and heterogeneous beliefs" (2015)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/YiZhang/9/