Articles
The Relationships between Permanent and Transitory Movements in U.S. Output and the Unemployment Rate, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2008)
This paper estimates the permanent and transitory movements in U.S. output and the unemployment rate...
Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage (with Leora Friedberg and Michael T. Owyang), The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy (2007)
Recent declines in job tenure have coincided with a shift away from traditional defined benefit...
Directional Forecasts of GDP and Inflation: A Joint Evaluation with an Application to Federal Reserve Predictions (with H.O. Stekler and Lindsay Kitzinger), Applied Economics (2006)
Many studies have undertaken separate analyses of the Fed’s forecasts of real GDP growth and...
The Differential Approach to Superlative Index Number Theory (with William A. Barnett and Ki-Hong Choi), Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics (2002)
Diewert’s (1976) “superlative” index numbers, defined to be exact for second order aggregator functions, unify...
Unpublished Papers
Asymmetry in the Business Cycle: Friedman’s Plucking Model with Correlated Innovations (2008)
Recent research has shown that unobserved components (UC) models can, under certain conditions, be estimated...
Output Fluctuations in the G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach (with Sinchan Mitra) (2008)
This paper contributes to the debate about the relative importance of permanent versus transitory disturbances...