Articles

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Biological Correlates of the Allais Paradox (with Dinora Baldo and Raul Matsushita), Applied Economics (2013)

We conducted a questionnaire study with student subjects to look for explicit correlations between selected...

 

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Psychophysiological Correlates of the Disposition Effect (with Marco Goulart, Newton Da Costa Jr, Andre Santos, and Emilio Takase), PLoS One (2013)

We assess the psychophysiological characteristics underlying the disposition effect and find that subjects showing greater...

 

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The Disposition Effect and Investor Experience (with Newton Da Costa Jr, Marco Goulart, Cesar Cupertino, and Jurandir Macedo Jr), Journal of Banking & Finance (2013)

We examine whether investing experience can dampen the disposition effect, that is, the fact that...

 

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A Great Recession in Economics?, Economics Bulletin (2012)

The number of downloads of economics articles through the repository RePEc showed a sharp drop...

 

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A Suggested Statistical Test for Measuring Bivariate Nonlinear Dependence (with Raul Matsushita and Annibal Figueiredo), Physica A (2012)

We devise a new asymptotic statisticaltest to assess independence in bivariate continuous distributions. Our approach...

 

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An Empirical Case Against the Use of Genetic-Based Learning Classifier Systems as Forecasting Devices (with Jaqueson Galimberti), Economics Bulletin (2012)

We adapt a genetic-based learning classifier system to a forecast evaluation exercise by making its...

 

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Queuing Theory Applied to the Optimal Management of Bank Excess Reserves (with Cleiton Taufemback), Physica A (2012)

Although the economic literature on the optimal management of bank excess reserves is age-old and...

 

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A Log-Periodic Fit for the Flash Crash of May 6, 2010 (with Raul Matsushita), Economics Bulletin (2011)

We show that a two-harmonic log-periodic formula fits the high-frequency data from the Dow Jones...

 

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Algorithmic Complexity Theory Detects Decreases in the Relative Efficiency of Stock Markets in the Aftermath of the 2008 Financial Crisis (with Cleiton Taufemback and Ricardo Giglio), Economics Bulletin (2011)

The relative efficiency of financial markets can be evaluated using algorithmic complexity theory. Using this...

 

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Fat Tails, Long-Range Correlations and Multifractality as Emergent Properties in Nonstationary Time Series (with Frederico Passos, Cesar Nascimento, Iram Gleria, and Gandhi Viswanathan), Europhysics Letters (2011)

An important open problem concerns the physical origin of long-range correlations, multifractality and fat tailed...

 

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Impacts of China's Growth on the Brazilian Trade (with Tatiana Ferrari and Milton Biage), Applied Mathematical Sciences (2011)

We evaluate whether the presence of China in world trade is ultimately beneficial or whether...

 

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Jump Diffusion Models and the Evolution of Financial Prices (with Annibal Figueiredo, Marcio T. De Castro, and Iram Gleria), Physics Letters A (2011)

We analyze a stochastic model to describe the evolution of financial prices. We consider the...

 

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Overconfidence and Excess Entry: A Comparison between Students and Managers (with A. Felipe Rodrigues and Newton Da Costa Jr), Economics Bulletin (2011)

Overconfidence can lead to excessive business entry. Here we replicate the pioneer experiment finding this...

 

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Revisiting Staggered Wages to Consider Discounting (with Patricia Bonini), Applied Mathematical Sciences (2011)

In the literature of staggered wages, the discount factor is neglected in the workers’ loss...

 

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Spectral Analysis Informs the Proper Frequency in the Sampling of Financial Time Series Data (with Cleiton Taufemback), Physica A (2011)

Applied econometricians tend to show a long neglect for the proper frequency to be considered...

 

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Testing the Equilibrium Exchange Rate Model (with Guilherme Moura), Applied Mathematical Sciences (2011)

We find favorable evidence for the textbook equilibrium exchange rate model of Stockman using Blanchard...

 

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The Canonical Econophysics Approach to the Flash Crash of May 6, 2010 (with Joao Mazzeu and Thiago Otuki), Applied Mathematical Sciences (2011)

We carry out a statistical physics analysis of the flash crash of May 6, 2010...

 

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Biological Characteristics Modulating Investor Overconfidence (with Marcia L. Zindel, Emilio Menezes, and Raul Matsushita), Economics Bullletin (2010)

Applying a standard questionnaire (Lichtenstein and Fischhoff 1977) to a sample of 44 professional investors,...

 

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Comment on Casey Mulligan: Keynes in Both Fresh and Salt Water, The Economists' Voice (2010)

Casey Mulligan suggested in The Economists' Voice that this recession was caused by "something [that]...

 

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Efficiency of Financial Markets and Algorithmic Complexity (with Ricardo Giglio, Iram Gleria, Adhemar Ranciaro, Raul Matsushita, and Annibal Figueiredo), Journal of Physics: Conference Series (2010)

In this work we are interested in the concept of market efficiency and its relationship...

 

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Risk Seeking Behavior of Preschool Children in a Gambling Task (with Bruno Moreira and Raul Matsushita), Journal of Economic Psychology (2010)

A recent neurobiology study showed that monkeys systematically prefer risky targets in a visual gambling...

 

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Robot Traders can Prevent Extreme Events in Complex Stock Markets (with Nicolas Suhadolnik and Jaqueson Galimberti), Physica A (2010)

If stock markets are complex, monetary policy and even financial regulation may be useless to...

 

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Stock Returns and Foreign Investment in Brazil (with Luciana Reis and Roberto Meurer), Applied Financial Economics (2010)

We examine the relationship between stock returns and foreign investment in Brazil, and find that...

 

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Does Macroeconomics Need Microeconomic Foundations?, Economics (2009)

I argue that it is microeconomics that needs foundations, not macroeconomics. Preferences need to be...

 

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Bolhas Racionais no Indice Bovespa (with Mauricio Nunes), Revista Brasileira de Economia (2009)

We checked for the presence of rational bubbles in the São Paulo Stock Exchange index...

 

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Going Parochial in the Assessment of the Brazilian Economics Research Output, Economics Bulletin (2009)

I evaluate the just launched official criterion for assessing the economics research output in Brazil,...

 

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Ranking the Stocks Listed on Bovespa according to their Relative Efficiency (with Ricardo Giglio), Applied Mathematical Sciences (2009)

A methodology based on the algorithmic complexity theory has been applied to assess the relative...

 

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Algorithmic Complexity Theory and the Relative Efficiency of Financial Markets (with Ricardo Giglio, Raul Matsushita, Annibal Figueiredo, and Iram Gleria), Europhysics Letters (2008)

Financial economists usually assess market efficiency in absolute terms. This is to be viewed as...

 

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Foreign Exchange Intervention and Central Bank Independence: The Latin American Experience (with Mauricio Nunes), Applied Financial Economics Letters (2008)

Employing data from 13 Latin American countries, we find that greater central bank independence is...

 

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Explosive and Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in Emerging Stockmarkets (with Mauricio Nunes), Economics Bulletin (2008)

We detected bubbles in 22 emerging stockmarkets using both standard and threshold cointegration. Eighteen stockmarkets...

 

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Is Mercosur an Optimum Currency Area? An Assessment Using Generalized Purchasing Power Parity (with J. Anchieta Neves and Leandro Stocco), Economics Bulletin (2008)

We consider the cointegration approach of generalized purchasing power parity to show that a necessary...

 

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Disposition Effect and Gender (with Newton Da Costa Jr and Carlos Mineto), Applied Economics Letters (2008)

Investors seem to hold on to their losing stocks to a greater extent than they...

 

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Optimal Control Theory for Inflation Targeting (with Thiago Veloso and Roberto Meurer), Economics Bulletin (2008)

We make a case for the usefulness of an optimal control approach for the central...

 

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The Relative Efficiency of Stockmarkets (with Ricardo Giglio and Raul Matsushita), Economics Bulletin (2008)

Financial economists usually assess market efficiency in absolute terms. This is a shortcoming. One way...

 

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Winners and Losers from Dollar Depreciation (with Gabrielle De Lima and Roberto Meurer), Economic Affairs (2008)

We examine the relationship between the US current account deficit, the international value of the...

 

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Is the Brazilian Stockmarket Efficient? (with Caio Guttler and Roberto Meurer), Economics Bulletin (2008)

Employing both cointegration analysis and a variety of Granger causality tests, we examine whether the...

 

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Shannon, Levy, and Tsallis: A Note (with Pushpa Rathie), Applied Mathematical Sciences (2008)

The Tsallis nonextensive entropy of the statistical physics literature exactly matches the previously defined Havrda-Charvat...

 

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The Levy Sections Theorem: An Application to Econophysics (with Annibal Figueiredo, Raul Matsushita, Maurizio Serva, Gandhi Viswanathan, Cesar Nascimento, and Iram Gleria), Physica A (2007)

We employ the Levy sections theorem in the analysis of selected dollar exchange rate time...

 

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Are Pound and Euro the Same Currency? (with Raul Matsushita, Annibal Figueiredo, and Iram Gleria), Physics Letters A (2007)

Based on long range dependence, some analysts claim that the exchange rate time series of...

 

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The Levy Sections Theorem Revisited (with Annibal Figueiredo, Iram Gleria, and Raul Matsushita), Journal of Physics A (2007)

This paper revisits the Levy sections theorem. We extend the scope of the theorem to...

 

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The Chinese Chaos Game (with Raul Matsushita, Iram Gleria, and Annibal Figueiredo), Physica A (2007)

The yuan-dollar changes prior to the 2005 revaluation show a Sierpinski triangle in an iterated...

 

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Estimating Demand Elasticities of Fixed Telephony in Brazil (with Gustavo Manfrim), Economics Bulletin (2007)

This paper provides estimates of the elasticities of demand for the Brazilian basic plan of...

 

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Hurst Exponents, Power Laws, and Efficiency in the Brazilian Foreign Exchange Market (with Raul Matsushita, Iram Gleria, and Annibal Figueiredo), Economics Bulletin (2007)

We find evidence of weak informational efficiency in the Brazilian daily foreign exchange market using...

 

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Large Sharpening Intertemporal Prospect Theory (with Pushpa Rathie and Carlos Radavelli), Applied Mathematical Sciences (2007)

Prospect theory of risky choices has been extended to encompass intertemporal choices. Presentation of intertemporal...

 

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Log-Periodic Crashes Revisited (with Raul Matsushita, Annibal Figueiredo, and Iram Gleria), Physica A (2006)

We revisit the finding that crashes can be deterministic and governed by log-periodic formulas. One-...

 

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Nonidentically Distributed Variables and Nonlinear Autocorrelation (with Annibal Figueiredo, Iram Gleria, and Raul Matsushita), Physica A (2006)

This paper considers independently distributed stochastic processes that are also nonidentically distributed. We find that...

 

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Evaluating Brazilian Mutual Funds with Stochastic Frontiers (with Andre Santos, Joao Tusi, and Newton Da Costa Jr), Economics Bulletin (2005)

We evaluate the performance of 307 Brazilian stock mutual funds employing stochastic frontiers. We list...

 

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Travel Hysteresis in the Brazilian Current Account (with Roberto Meurer and Guilherme Moura), Economics Bulletin (2005)

The strong Brazilian currency between 1994 and 1998 led Brazilians to an unprecedented increase in...

 

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Travel Hysteresis in the US Current Account After the Mid-1980s (with Roberto Meurer and Guilherme Moura), Economics Bulletin (2005)

Following the real appreciation of the US dollar in the first half of the 1980s,...

 

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Stock Selection Based on Cluster Analysis (with Newton Da Costa Jr and Jefferson Cunha), Economics Bulletin (2005)

We put forward a technique based on cluster analysis to group stocks in spot markets...

 

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Is There a Brazilian J−Curve? (with Guilherme Moura), Economics Bulletin (2005)

We show that the Marshall−Lerner condition holds for the Brazilian trade balance, and discard a...

 

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International Finance, Lévy Distributions, and the Econophysics of Exchange Rates (with Raul Matsushita, Iram Gleria, Annibal Figueiredo, and Pushpa Rathie), Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation (2005)

This paper surveys the developments in the field of international finance, in particular the research...

 

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Política Monetária e a Relação entre PIB Real e Mercado de Ações na Economia Brasileira (with Mauricio Nunes), Indicadores Econômicos FEE (2005)

This paper presents favorable piece of evidence of the relationship between the Brazilian real output...

 

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Stockmarket Comovements Revisited (with Newton Da Costa Jr, Silvia Nunes, and Paulo Ceretta), Economics Bulletin (2005)

We revisit the issue of comovements of emerging and developed stockmarkets, and provide a simultaneous...

 

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Financial Volatility and Independent Identically Distributed Variables (with Annibal Figueiredo, Iram Gleria, and Raul Matsushita), Physica A (2005)

Given that financial series are poorly described by Gaussian distributions, how can the volatility behavior...

 

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Exponentially Damped Levy Flights, Multiscaling, and Slow Convergence in Stockmarkets (with Iram Gleria, Annibal Figueiredo, Raul Matsushita, and Pushpa Rathie), Physica A (2004)

There is a role for autocorrelations and power laws in the sum of stochastic variables....

 

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Big Mac Parity, Income, and Trade (with Sidney Caetano and Guilherme Moura), Economics Bulletin (2004)

Nontraded inputs account for the lion's share of a Big Mac price. Major departures from...

 

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Levy Flights, Autocorrelation, and Slow Convergence (with Annibal Figueiredo, Iram Gleria, and Raul Matsushita), Physica A (2004)

The sluggish convergence of truncated Lévy flights to a Gaussian together with the scaling power...

 

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Autocorrelation and the Sum of Stochastic Variables (with Annibal Figueiredo, Iram Gleria, and Raul Matsushita), Physics Letters A (2004)

We examine the role of nonlinear autocorrelations in the convergence to the Gaussian equilibrium and...

 

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Exponentially Damped Lévy Flights, Multiscaling, and Exchange Rates (with Raul Matsushita, Iram Gleria, Annibal Figueiredo, and Rathie Rathie), Physica A (2004)

We employ our previously suggested exponentially damped Lévy flight to study the multiscaling properties of...

 

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Sistemas Complexos, Criticalidade e Leis de Potencia (with Iram Gleria and Raul Matsushita), Revista Brasileira de Ensino de Física (2004)

We survey some basic notions related to complex systems theory. (Portuguese)

 

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Exponentially Damped Levy Flights (with Raul Matsushita and Pushpa Rathie), Physica A (2003)

Since real-world processes seem to depart from standard Levy distributions, modifications to the latter have...

 

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On the Origins of Truncated Levy Flights (with Annibal Figueiredo, Iram Gleria, and Raul Matsushita), Physics Letters A (2003)

We show that truncated Levy flights appear due to the presence of particular features of...

 

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Autocorrelation as a Source of Truncated Lévy Flights in Foreign Exchange Rates (with Annibal Figueiredo, Iram Gleria, and Raul Matsushita), Physica A (2003)

We suggest that the ultraslow speed of convergence associated with truncated Levy flights may be...

 

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Fractal Structure in the Chinese Yuan-US Dollar Rate (with Raul Matsushita, Iram Gleria, and Annibal Figueiredo), Economics Bulletin (2003)

Price changes of the Chinese yuan-US dollar rate are found to display a Sierpinski triangle...

 

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Classroom Guide to the Equilibrium Exchange Rate Model, Economic Issues (2002)

The article presents a classroom-suited version of the equilibrium exchange rate model of Stockman (1987)...

 

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A Brief Overview of the Current State of Exchange Rate Modeling, Brazilian Journal of Business Economics (2002)

The paper provides a brief overview of the current state of exchange rate modeling.

 

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Criticality, Brazilian Journal of Business Economics (2002)

This article reviews some current interdisciplinary work on power laws.

 

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Scaling Power Laws in the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange (with Iram Gleria and Raul Matsushita), Economics Bulletin (2002)

The scaling of the probability distribution of the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange index is shown...

 

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Chaotic Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux, Open Economies Review (2001)

This article generalizes the results shown in De Grauwe, Dewachter, and Embrechts (1993) in a...

 

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Chaos and Exchange Rates, Estudos Empresariais (2001)

This paper surveys the literature on chaos in exchange rates.

 

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The Role of Foreign Exchange Intervention in a Chaotic Dornbusch Model, Kredit und Kapital (2000)

Massive foreign exchange interventions are shown to remove chaos and instability in the models of...

 

Books

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Introdução a Economia (with Joaquim Ornelas) (1996)
 

Contributions to Books

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Chaotic New Open Economy Macroeconomics, Progress in Economics Research (2003)
 

Popular Press

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Crisis, Imbalance, and Prospects for the Dollar, Currency Trader (2009)

One positive aspect of the financial crisis was the boost to the dollar. However, global...

 

Presentations

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The Mutual Gains from Trade Moderate the Parent-Offspring Conflict, MPRA Paper No. 46627 (2013)

By combining basic concepts from economics and genetic economics, I elaborate a rationale for the...

 

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Time to Abandon Group Thinking in Economics, MPRA Paper No. 45660 (2013)

Group thinking is the notion that animals do those things that maximize the chance of...

 

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Demanda (2010)
 

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Escolha (2010)
 

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Micro 2: Varian Passo a Passo (2010)

Apresentação detalhada do material do livro-texto do Varian usado em cursos de Micro 2 no...

 

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O Mercado (2010)
 

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Preferências (2010)
 

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Utilidade (2010)
 

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Incerteza (2009)
 

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Risco (2005)
 

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Tempo (2005)
 

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Bubble Story (2001)
 

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Breve História da Economia Brasileira (with Patricia Bonini) (2000)
 

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Elasticidades (2000)
 

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Justiça (2000)
 

Other