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Article
Bayesian Modeling of External Corrosion in Underground Pipelines Based on the Integration of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Techniques and Clustered Inspection Data
Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering
  • Hui Wang, University of Akron Main Campus
  • Ayako Yajima, University of Akron Main Campus
  • Robert Y. Liang, University of Akron Main Campus
  • Homero Castaneda
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
4-1-2015
Disciplines
Abstract

In this study, a model is developed to assess external corrosion in buried pipelines based on the unification of Bayesian inferential structure derived from Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques using clustered inspection data. This proposed stochastic model combines clustering algorithms that can ascertain the similarity of corrosion defects and Monte Carlo simulation that can give an accurate probability density function estimation of the corrosion rate. The metal loss rate is chosen as the indicator of corrosion damage propagation, obeying a generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. Bayesian theory was employed to update the probability distribution of metal loss rate as well as the GEV parameters in order to account for the model uncertainty. The proposed model was validated with direct and indirect inspection data extracted from a 110-km buried pipeline system.

Citation Information
Hui Wang, Ayako Yajima, Robert Y. Liang and Homero Castaneda. "Bayesian Modeling of External Corrosion in Underground Pipelines Based on the Integration of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Techniques and Clustered Inspection Data" Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering Vol. 30 Iss. 4 (2015) p. 300 - 316
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/robert_liang/5/