Worldwide Variation in the Doubling Time of Alzheimer's Disease Incidence Rates (with Kathryn Ziegler-Graham, Elizabeth Johnson, and H. Michael Arrighi), Alzheimer's and Dementia (2008)

Prevalence of Dementia After Age 90 (with Maria Corrada, D Berlau, A Paganini-Hill, and Claudia Kawas), Neurology (2008)

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Forecasting the Global Burden of Alzheimer's Disease (with Elizabeth Johnson, Kathryn Ziegler-Graham, and H. Michael Arrighi), Alzheimer's and Dementia (2007)

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Modeling the Effect of Alzheimer's Disease on Mortality (with Elizabeth Johnson and Kathryn Ziegler-Graham), International Journal of Biostatistics (2007)

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Software to Forecast the Global Burden of Alzheimer's Disease (with Elizabeth Johnson, Kathryn Ziegler-Graham, and H. Michael Arrighi) (2007)

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Aging and the Public Health Impact of Dementia (with Claudia Kawas), New England Journal of Medicine (2001)

Projections of Alzheimer's disease in the United States and the public health impact of delaying disease onset. (with Sarah Gray and Claudia Kawas), American Journal of Public Health (1998)

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Modeling an Outbreak of Anthrax, Statistics: A Guide to the Unknown (2006)

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Biosecurity and the Role of Statisticians, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A (2005)

Public Health Vaccination Policies for Containing an Anthrax Outbreak (with Elizabeth Johnson and Robert Bollinger), Nature (2004)

Modeling the Optimum Duration of Antibiotic Prophylaxis in an Anthrax Outbreak (with Elizabeth Johnson and Robert Bollinger), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2003)

Statistical Models and Bioterrorism: Application to the U.S. Anthrax Outbreak (with Natalie Blades), Journal of the American Statistical Association (2003)

Prevention of Inhalational Anthrax in the U.S. Outbreak (with Natalie Blades), Science (2002)

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Should Biomarker Estimates of HIV Incidence be Adjusted?, AIDS (2009)

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Estimating HIV Incidence in the United States from HIV/AIDS Surveillance Data and Biomarker HIV Test Results (with John Karon, R Song, Edward Kaplan, and Irene Hall), Statistics in Medicine (2008)

Estimation of HIV Incidence in the United States (with Irene Hall, R Song, P Rhodes, John Karon, Edward Kaplan, M McKenna, R Janssen, and HIV Incidence Surveillance Group), Journal of the American Medical Association (2008)

Confidence Intervals for Biomarker-based Human Immunodeficiecny Virus Incidence Estimates and Differences Using Prevalent Data (with S Cole and H Chu), American Journal of Epidemiology (2007)

Accounting for Follow-up Bias in Estimation of HIV Incidence Rates, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A (1997)

AIDS, Epidemics and Statistics, Biometrics (1996)

Estimation of Current HIV Incidence Rates from a Cross-Sectional Survey Using Early Diagnostic Tests (with Thomas Quinn), American Journal of Epidemiology (1995)

AIDS Epidemiology: A Quantitative Approach (with Mitchell H. Gail) (1994)

Reconstruction and Future Trends of the AIDS Epidemic in the United States, Science (1991)

The Minimum Size of the AIDS Epidemic in the United States (with Mitchell H. Gail), Lancet (1986)

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The Effects of Herd Immunity on the Power of Vaccine Trials (with Blake Charvat and Jay Herson), Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research (2009)

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A Hypothesis Test for the End of a Common Source Outbreak (with Xiaojun You), Biometrics (2006)

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Modeling the Incubation Period of Anthrax (with Elizabeth Johnson and Sarah Barry), Statistics in Medicine (2005)

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Monitoring the Health of Populations: Statistical Methods for Public Health Surveillance (with Donna Stroup) (2004)

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Quantitative Evaluation of HIV Preventon Programs (with Edward Kaplan) (2002)