Articles

Link

Estimation of HIV Incidence Using Multiple Biomakers (with Jacob Konikoff, Oliver Laeyendecker, and Susan H. Eshleman), American Journal of Epidemiology (2013)
 

PDF

National Estimates of the Prevalence of Alzheimer's Disease in the United States (with Denis Evans, Liesi Hebert, Langa Kenneth, Heeringa Steven, Plassman Brenda, and Kukull Kenneth), Alzheimer's & Dementia (2011)
 

PDF

Statistical Considerations in Determining HIV Incidence from Changes in HIV Prevalence (with Jacob Konikoff), Statistical Communications in Infectious Diseases (2011)
 

PDF

On the Statistical Accuracy of Biomarker Assays of HIV Incidence, Journal of the Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (2010)
 

PDF

The Effects of Herd Immunity on the Power of Vaccine Trials (with Blake Charvat and Jay Herson), Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research (2009)
 
Worldwide Variation in the Doubling Time of Alzheimer's Disease Incidence Rates (with Kathryn Ziegler-Graham, Elizabeth Johnson, and H. Michael Arrighi), Alzheimer's and Dementia (2008)
 
Estimating HIV Incidence in the United States from HIV/AIDS Surveillance Data and Biomarker HIV Test Results (with John Karon, R Song, Edward Kaplan, and Irene Hall), Statistics in Medicine (2008)
 
Estimation of HIV Incidence in the United States (with Irene Hall, R Song, P Rhodes, John Karon, Edward Kaplan, M McKenna, R Janssen, and HIV Incidence Surveillance Group), Journal of the American Medical Association (2008)
 
Prevalence of Dementia After Age 90 (with Maria Corrada, D Berlau, A Paganini-Hill, and Claudia Kawas), Neurology (2008)
 

PDF

Forecasting the Global Burden of Alzheimer's Disease (with Elizabeth Johnson, Kathryn Ziegler-Graham, and H. Michael Arrighi), Alzheimer's and Dementia (2007)
 

PDF

Modeling the Effect of Alzheimer's Disease on Mortality (with Elizabeth Johnson and Kathryn Ziegler-Graham), International Journal of Biostatistics (2007)
 

PDF

Modeling the Incubation Period of Anthrax (with Elizabeth Johnson and Sarah Barry), Statistics in Medicine (2005)
 
Public Health Vaccination Policies for Containing an Anthrax Outbreak (with Elizabeth Johnson and Robert Bollinger), Nature (2004)
 
Modeling the Optimum Duration of Antibiotic Prophylaxis in an Anthrax Outbreak (with Elizabeth Johnson and Robert Bollinger), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2003)
 
Statistical Models and Bioterrorism: Application to the U.S. Anthrax Outbreak (with Natalie Blades), Journal of the American Statistical Association (2003)
 
Prevention of Inhalational Anthrax in the U.S. Outbreak (with Natalie Blades), Science (2002)
 

Link

Projections of Alzheimer's disease in the United States and the public health impact of delaying disease onset. (with Sarah Gray and Claudia Kawas), American Journal of Public Health (1998)
 
Accounting for Follow-up Bias in Estimation of HIV Incidence Rates, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A (1997)
 
AIDS, Epidemics and Statistics, Biometrics (1996)
 
The Minimum Size of the AIDS Epidemic in the United States (with Mitchell H. Gail), Lancet (1986)
 

Books

AIDS Epidemiology: A Quantitative Approach (with Mitchell H. Gail) (1994)
 

Chapters in Books

PDF

Modeling an Outbreak of Anthrax, Statistics: A Guide to the Unknown (2006)
 

Editorials

PDF

Biosecurity and the Role of Statisticians, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A (2005)
 

PDF

Aging and the Public Health Impact of Dementia (with Claudia Kawas), New England Journal of Medicine (2001)
 

Software

Link

Software to Forecast the Global Burden of Alzheimer's Disease (with Elizabeth Johnson, Kathryn Ziegler-Graham, and H. Michael Arrighi) (2007)