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Article
Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, and Limitations
Geophysical Research Letters (1999)
  • M. E Mann
  • Raymond S Bradley, University of Massachusetts - Amherst
  • M. K Hughes
Abstract
Building on recent studies, we attempt hemispheric temperature reconstructions with proxy data networks for the past millennium. We focus not just on the reconstructions, but the uncertainties therein, and important caveats. Though expanded uncertainties prevent decisive conclusions for the period prior to AD 1400, our results suggest that the latter 20th century is anomalous in the context of at least the past millennium. The 1990s was the warmest decade, and 1998 the warmest year, at moderately high levels of confidence. The 20th century warming counters a millennial‐scale cooling trend which is consistent with long‐term astronomical forcing.
Disciplines
Publication Date
1999
Publisher Statement
Doi:10.1029/1999GL900070 An edited version of this paper was published by AGU. Copyright 1999 American Geophysical Union.
Citation Information
M. E Mann, Raymond S Bradley and M. K Hughes. "Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, and Limitations" Geophysical Research Letters Vol. 26 Iss. 6 (1999)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/raymond_bradley/17/