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Ray C Fair
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Yale University
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A: Voting Behavior
B: Aging
C: Macroeconomics
F: Finance
D: Econometrics
A: Voting Behavior
(3)
Unpublished Paper
Presidential and Congressional Vote-Share Equations
(2007)
Ray C Fair
Three vote-share equations are estimated and analyzed in this paper, one for presidential elections, one for on-term House elections, and ...
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Unpublished Paper
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 2004 ...
(2006)
Ray C Fair
The specification of the vote equation has not been changed since the update of November 1994 following the 1992 election. ...
Link
Unpublished Paper
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Presidential Elections
(2006)
Ray C Fair
This paper argues that there is an important type of election predictive uncertainty that is not captured by polling standard ...
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B: Aging
(2)
Article
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess
Experimental Aging Research (2007)
Ray C Fair
Rates of decline are estimated using record bests by age for chess and for various track and field, road running, ...
Link
Unpublished Paper
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball
(2005)
Ray C Fair
Age effects in baseball are estimated in this paper using a nonlinear fixed-effects regression. The sample consists of all players ...
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C: Macroeconomics
(6)
Unpublished Paper
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the ...
(2007)
Ray C Fair
This paper examines the performances of the past five Federal Reserve chairmen using optimal control techniques and a macroeconometric model. ...
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Unpublished Paper
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model
(2007)
Ray C Fair
This paper uses a structurally estimated macroeconometric model, denoted the MC model, to evaluate inflation targeting in the United States. ...
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Article
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics (2007)
Ray C Fair
A popular model in the literature postulates an interest rate rule, a NAIRU price equation, and an aggregate demand equation ...
Link
Article
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics (2007)
Ray C Fair
The paper analyzes the question why the U.S. economy in the 2000:4--2004:3 period was sluggish in light of the large ...
Link
Article
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2005)
Ray C Fair
This paper examines various interest rate rules, as well as policies derived by solving optimal control problems, for their ability ...
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Book
Estimating How the Macroeconomy Works
(2004)
Ray C Fair
Link
F: Finance
(3)
Article
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency
Journal of Sports Economics (2007)
Ray C Fair
The results in this paper show that various college football ranking systems have useful independent information for predicting the outcomes ...
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Article
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates
Journal of International Money and Finance (2003)
Ray C Fair
Tick data and newswire searches are used to find events that led to large and rapid changes in a stock ...
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Article
Events that Shook the Market
Journal of Business (2002)
Ray C Fair
Tick data on the S&P 500 futures contract and newswire searches are used to match events to large one- to ...
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D: Econometrics
(2)
Article
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics (2007)
Ray C Fair
This paper outlines a bootstrapping approach to the estimation and analysis of macroeconometric models. It integrates for dynamic, nonlinear, simultaneous ...
Link
Article
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with ...
Computational Economics (2003)
Ray C Fair
This paper presents a computationally feasible procedure for the optimal control and stochastic simulation of large nonlinear models with rational ...
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