Skip to main content
Unpublished Paper
Wage Formation and the (Non-)Existence of the NAIRU
Economics Department Working Paper Series (1998)
  • Peter Skott, University of Massachusetts - Amherst
Abstract
The influence of NAIRU theory on economic policy is both puzzling and unfortunate, especially in a European context. This paper shows that standard rationality assumptions and objective functions may fail to generate a well-defined NAIRU in a unionized economy. It then presents two simple models with endogenous wage aspirations. One version of the model produces a unique long-run NAIRU while the other implies the presence of aspiration-induced hysteresis in the employment rate. The hysteretic version seems preferable on theoretical grounds and - at a stylized level - this version also fits the empirical evidence better than the non-hysteretic version. The argument implies that an expansionary aggregate demand policy combined with temporary incomes policies may reduce European unemployment permanently without adverse inflationary consequences.
Disciplines
Publication Date
1998
Citation Information
Peter Skott. "Wage Formation and the (Non-)Existence of the NAIRU" Economics Department Working Paper Series (1998)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/peter_skott/44/