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Article
Effects of correlation on intermittent demand forecasting and stock control
International Journal of Production Economics (2012)
  • Nezih Altay, DePaul University
  • Lewis A Litteral, University of Richmond
  • Frank Rudisill, University of South Carolina - Upstate
Abstract
This study investigates the effects of three different types of correlation on forecasting and stock control of intermittent demand items. Applying appropriate forecasting and stock control methods to theoretically generated compound Poisson demand data we show that correlation in intermittent demand does play a role in forecast quality and stock control performance. Negative autocorrelation levels lead to higher service levels than positive values, while cost does not significantly change. Our results also show that high intermittency levels intensify these changes in service level. We also show that cross-correlation produces results in the opposite direction of autocorrelation in size or intervals; that is, positive (negative) cross-correlation leads to higher (lower) service levels.
Keywords
  • Forecasting,
  • Time series,
  • Intermittent demand,
  • Correlation
Publication Date
2012
Citation Information
Nezih Altay, Lewis A Litteral and Frank Rudisill. "Effects of correlation on intermittent demand forecasting and stock control" International Journal of Production Economics Vol. 135 Iss. 1 (2012)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/nezih_altay/5/