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Article
Time Varying Parameter Estimation Scheme for a Linear Stochastic Differential Equation.pdf
International Journal of Statistics and Probability (2017)
  • Michael Otunuga, Marshall University
Abstract
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In this work, an attempt is made to estimate time varying parameters in a linear stochastic differential equation. By defining $m_{k}$ as the local admissible sample/data observation size at time $t_{k}$, parameters and state at time $t_{k}$ are estimated using past data on interval $[t_{k-m_{k}+1}, t_{k}]$. We show that the parameter estimates at each time $t_{k}$ converge in probability to the true value of the parameters being estimated. A numerical simulation is presented by applying the local lagged adapted generalized method of moments (LLGMM) method to the stochastic differential models governing prices of energy commodities and stock price processes.

Keywords
  • Stochastic; Generalized Method of Moments; Maximum Likelihood; Simulation; Local lagged adapted
Publication Date
Fall August 11, 2017
DOI
10.5539/ijsp.v6n5p84
Citation Information
Michael Otunuga. "Time Varying Parameter Estimation Scheme for a Linear Stochastic Differential Equation.pdf" International Journal of Statistics and Probability Vol. 6 Iss. 5 (2017) p. 84 - 100 ISSN: 1927-7032
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/michael-otunuga/4/