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Article
The Extreme Risk Problem for Monetary Policies of the Euro-Candidates Countries
WCBT Working Papers
  • Hubert Gabrisch, University Library of Munich, Germany
  • Lucjan T. Orlowski, Sacred Heart University
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
1-1-2010
Abstract

We argue that monetary policies in euro-candidate countries should also aim at mitigating excessive instability of the key target and instrument variables of monetary policy during turbulent market periods. Our empirical tests show a significant degree of leptokurtosis, thus prevalence of tail-risks, in the conditional volatility series of such variables in the euro-candidate countries. Their central banks will be well-advised to use both standard and unorthodox (discretionary) tools of monetary policy to mitigate such extreme risks while steering their economies out of the crisis and through the euroconvergence process. Such policies provide flexibility that is not embedded in the Taylor-type instrument rules, or in the Maastricht convergence criteria.

Comments

IWH Discussion Papers 12, Halle Institute for Economic Research.

Citation Information
Gabrisch, Hubert and Lucjan T. Orlowski. "The Extreme Risk Problem for Monetary Policies of the Euro-Candidates,"IWH Discussion Papers 12, Halle Institute for Economic Research.