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<title>Kelly M. Cobourn</title>
<copyright>Copyright (c) 2011  All rights reserved.</copyright>
<link>http://works.bepress.com/kelly_cobourn</link>
<description>Recent documents in Kelly M. Cobourn</description>
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<lastBuildDate>Tue, 13 Sep 2011 11:59:37 PDT</lastBuildDate>
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<title>Implications of Simultaneity in a Physical Damage Function</title>
<link>http://works.bepress.com/kelly_cobourn/11</link>
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<pubDate>Mon, 22 Aug 2011 14:35:02 PDT</pubDate>
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	<p>A modeler must often rely on highly simplified representations of  complex physical systems when analyzing associated economic issues.  Herein, we consider a management problem in which a bioeconomic system  exhibits simultaneity in processes governing productivity and damage. In  this case, it may benefit the producer to sacrifice productivity to  reduce the costs associated with increased damage. We specify  empirically a structural damage relationship that explains the  biological process by which an invasive species damages a host and  estimate the structural model and its reduced form with an exceptional  dataset on infestation of olives by the olive fruit fly. We contrast the  results of these models with the approach typically taken in the  economic literature, which expresses damage as a function of pest  density. The population-based approach introduces significantly greater  bias into the individual grower's choice of damage-control inputs than  estimates based on the structural model.</p>

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<author>Kelly M. Cobourn et al.</author>


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<title>The Role of Harvest Timing in Pest Management: Grower Response to Infestation and Sector-Level Shifts in the Distribution of Output Quality</title>
<link>http://works.bepress.com/kelly_cobourn/10</link>
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<pubDate>Tue, 04 Jan 2011 12:46:40 PST</pubDate>
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	<p>A ubiquitous pest, such as the olive fruit fly, would seem to harm all producers. Olive growers in California have not only incurred costs of spraying insecticides but have harvested olives when they are smaller and less susceptible. A mathematical programming model optimizes a grower’s decisions, given the heterogeneity among growers’ cultivars and climate conditions. The model is extended to make the price premium for larger olives endogenous, given the individual growers’ responses to the pest. The market-level model indicates that some types of growers actually benefit from the infestation.</p>

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<author>Kelly M. Cobourn et al.</author>


<category>Theses</category>

<category>Working Paper</category>

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<title>Environmental Conservation on Agricultural Working Land: Assessing Policy Alternatives Using a Spatially Heterogeneous Land Allocation Model (M.S. Thesis)</title>
<link>http://works.bepress.com/kelly_cobourn/4</link>
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<pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2009 15:13:45 PDT</pubDate>
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	<p>Multifunctionality refers to the ability of agricultural systems to produce an array of non-market goods and services in addition to market commodities. This thesis focuses explicitly on the provision of environmental benefits, through reduced soil erosion and fertilizer applications, by agricultural producers. Soil erosion and nutrient contamination from agricultural production are the foremost contributors to ground and surface water degradation in the United States. Reducing their production implies gains in social welfare, but may generate significant private losses to producers. The objective of this analysis is to quantify the tradeoff between environmental improvements and producer welfare and to examine the extent to which public policy can influence that tradeoff.</p>
<p>To address this objective, a land use allocation model is constructed using slope to reflect terrain heterogeneity. The model is formulated as a mathematical programming problem, with the objective of maximizing producer welfare subject to an exogenous land endowment and a series of production constraints. The model developed in this thesis differs from previous empirical models in several substantive ways. First, crop and livestock production activities are explicitly modeled as either separable or nonseparable activities. The advantage to doing so is that it gives the model the flexibility to choose the optimal degree of integration between the two. The model also diverges from previous studies by incorporating a common set of variables that affect the economic and environmental aspects of commodity production. Specifically, the spatial allocation of land use practices impacts economic and environmental outcomes via a yield damage function and differentiated rates of soil erosion. These two aspects are expected to improve the model’s predictive ability.</p>
<p>One of the primary benefits of the model is that it can be used to identify the economic factors driving landscape-level production patterns. The analysis demonstrates that the land use allocation is relatively insensitive to changes in commodity prices. Therefore, altering the level of commodity-based income support payments is insufficient to attain environmental improvements. Several hypothetical “green” policy instruments are simulated to estimate the cost to producers of reducing environmental damages. The results indicate that limiting soil erosion to an environmentally acceptable level with either a regulatory standard or a tax reduces the average return to land by ten percent. A program of green subsidy payments for less erosive land management practices cannot attain the same standard with less cost to producers. Overall, the inelastic response of land use change to commodity prices indicates that targeting the use of productive inputs, as opposed to commodity outputs, may be a more efficient means of encouraging agricultural producers to provide environmental benefits.</p>

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<author>Kelly M. Cobourn</author>


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<title>Incentives for Individual and Cooperative Management of a Mobile Pest: An Application to the Olive Fruit Fly in California (Ph.D. Dissertation)</title>
<link>http://works.bepress.com/kelly_cobourn/2</link>
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<pubDate>Sun, 30 Aug 2009 22:48:04 PDT</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>Institutions for collective action can effectively mitigate a harmful externality. However, the viability of such institutions hinges on the degree to which participants differ. This dissertation examines heterogeneity among growers affected by a mobile pest. In this case, the treatment decisions by some affect the pest stock harming others. To mitigate losses from infestation, one tool available to growers is the pest control district (PCD). The analyses in this dissertation describe the biological and economic factors that drive heterogeneity in management incentives among growers, and the consequences for the formation and operation of a PCD.</p>
<p>The empirical application used throughout is the olive fruit fly in California. Chapter 2 develops and estimates a pest damage function, using an exceptional dataset collected by entomologists. The econometric model accounts for simultaneity that arises because common factors affect both pest population dynamics and host susceptibility. The estimated damage function aptly reflects biologically-driven heterogeneity in infestation rates across hosts. The implication for pest management is that growers may combat infestation by targeting the pest population or by manipulating host susceptibility.</p>
<p>Given randomness in common factors, mainly temperature, Chapter 3 incorporates both types of management tactics into a stochastic dynamic programming model of the incentives facing individual growers. The model allows growers to apply an insecticide at numerous times during the growing season, but growers may also curtail the growing season to reduce damage. Calibrated to various cultivars and growing regions, the results suggest that growers will change harvest timing to reduce their use of insecticide treatments. Some growers avoid insecticide use altogether by harvesting early.</p>
<p>Chapter 4 examines the individual benefits to membership in a PCD with heterogeneous commercial and non-commercial growers of a host. The analysis suggests that growers who eliminate insecticide treatments with early harvest lose 5.4-7.0 percent of seasonal returns by participating. In many cases, the estimated gains to other producers exceed these losses. However, the code governing PCDs in California mandates that all producers contribute a uniform levy to fund the institution. Redefining the structure of PCDs to reflect heterogeneity in returns to membership may enhance institutional efficiency and encourage cooperation among growers.</p>

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<author>Kelly M. Cobourn</author>


<category>Theses</category>

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<title>Environmental Conservation on Agricultural Working Land: Assessing Policy Alternatives Using a Spatially Heterogeneous Land Allocation Model (Published Abstract)</title>
<link>http://works.bepress.com/kelly_cobourn/1</link>
<guid isPermaLink="true">http://works.bepress.com/kelly_cobourn/1</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 30 Aug 2009 22:41:59 PDT</pubDate>
<description>
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	<p>The growth in federal conservation programs has created a need for policy modeling frameworks capable of measuring micro-level behavioral responses and macro-level landscape changes. This paper presents an empirical model that predicts crop choices, crop rotations, and conservation tillage adoption as a function of conservation payment levels, profits, and other variables at more than 42,000 agricultural sites of the National Resource Inventory (NRI) in the Upper Mississippi River Basin. Predicted changes in crop choices and tillage practices are then fed into site-specific environmental production functions to determine changes in nitrate runoff and leaching and in water and wind erosion at each NRI site. This policy-scale model is applied to the case of green payments for the adoption of conservation practices (conservation tillage and crop rotations) in the Upper Mississippi River Basin, a region under scrutiny as a significant source of nutrient loadings to the Mississippi River, causing hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico. Results from this application suggest that payments for conservation tillage and crop rotations increase the use of these conservation practices. However, the acreage response is inelastic and the programs are not likely to be cost effective on their own for addressing the hypoxia problem in the Gulf of Mexico. Keywords: agricultural policy, conservation practices, green payments, land use changes, nitrate runoff and leaching, non-point pollution, soil erosion.</p>

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<author>Kelly M. Cobourn</author>


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