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Contribution to Book
Model Development Techniques and Evaluation Methods for Prediction and Classification of Consumer Risk in the Credit Industry
Neural Networks in Business Forecasting (2004)
  • Jennifer L. Priestley, Kennesaw State University
  • Satish Nargundkar, Georgia State University
Abstract
In this chapter, we examine and compare the most prevalent modeling techniques in the credit industry, Linear Discriminant Analysis, Logistic Analysis and the emerging technique of Neural Network modeling. K-S Tests and Classification Rates are typically used in the industry to measure the success in predictive classification. We examine those two methods and a third, ROC Curves, to determine if the method of evaluation has an influence on the perceived performance of the modeling technique. We found that each modeling technique has its own strengths, and a determination of the “best” depends upon the evaluation method utilized and the costs associated with misclassification.
Keywords
  • credit industry,
  • modeling techniques,
  • financial models
Publication Date
2004
Editor
G. Peter Zhang
Publisher
IGI-Global
Citation Information
Jennifer L. Priestley and Satish Nargundkar. "Model Development Techniques and Evaluation Methods for Prediction and Classification of Consumer Risk in the Credit Industry" Hershey, PANeural Networks in Business Forecasting (2004)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/jennifer_priestley/13/