Skip to main content
Article
Estimation and Prediction in Spatial Models With Block Composite Likelihoods
Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics
  • Jo Eidsvik, University of Trondeim
  • Benjamin A. Shaby, University of California - Berkeley
  • Brian J. Reich, North Carolina State University at Raleigh
  • Matthew Wheeler, University of California, Santa Barbara
  • Jarad Niemi, Iowa State University
Document Type
Article
Publication Version
Submitted Manuscript
Publication Date
1-16-2013
DOI
10.1080/10618600.2012.760460
Abstract

This article develops a block composite likelihood for estimation and prediction in large spatial datasets. The composite likelihood (CL) is constructed from the joint densities of pairs of adjacent spatial blocks. This allows large datasets to be split into many smaller datasets, each of which can be evaluated separately, and combined through a simple summation. Estimates for unknown parameters are obtained by maximizing the block CL function. In addition, a new method for optimal spatial prediction under the block CL is presented. Asymptotic variances for both parameter estimates and predictions are computed using Godambe sandwich matrices. The approach considerably improves computational efficiency, and the composite structure obviates the need to load entire datasets into memory at once, completely avoiding memory limitations imposed by massive datasets. Moreover, computing time can be reduced even further by distributing the operations using parallel computing. A simulation study shows that CL estimates and predictions, as well as their corresponding asymptotic confidence intervals, are competitive with those based on the full likelihood. The procedure is demonstrated on one dataset from the mining industry and one dataset of satellite retrievals. The real-data examples show that the block composite results tend to outperform two competitors; the predictive process model and fixed-rank kriging.

Comments

This is a manuscript of an article from the Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 23 (2013): 295, doi:10.1080/10618600.2012.760460. Posted with permission.

Copyright Owner
American Statistical Association, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and Interface Foundation of North America
Language
en
File Format
application/pdf
Citation Information
Jo Eidsvik, Benjamin A. Shaby, Brian J. Reich, Matthew Wheeler, et al.. "Estimation and Prediction in Spatial Models With Block Composite Likelihoods" Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics Vol. 23 Iss. 2 (2013) p. 295 - 315
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/jarad_niemi/12/