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Unpublished Paper
Tactical Asset Allocation and Presidential Elections
Financial Services Forum Publications
  • James L. Grant, University of Massachusetts Boston
  • Emery A. Trahan, Northeastern University
Document Type
Occasional Paper
Publication Date
6-1-2005
Disciplines
Abstract

We analyze tactical asset allocation decisions around presidential elections using traditional methodology and then in the context of an efficient frontier analysis rather than the traditional stock-only or bond-only allocations in prior literature. To our knowledge, this is the first paper in the literature that addresses asset returns around presidential elections in a mean-variance efficient frontier framework. We find that the efficient frontier is sensitive to presidential time periods, with Democrats providing the best risk-reward opportunities over the long term, while Republicans provide better opportunities over the past quarter century.

Comments

College of Management at University of Massachusetts Boston, Financial Services Forum, Working Paper 1004.

Prepared for presentation at the AFFI French Finance Association Conference, Paris, France, June 2005.

Community Engaged/Serving
No, this is not community-engaged.
Citation Information
James L. Grant and Emery A. Trahan. "Tactical Asset Allocation and Presidential Elections" (2005)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/james_grant/8/