Should We Redesign Forecasting Competitions?
Postprint version. Published in International Journal of Forecasting, Volume 17, 2001, pages 542-545.
The M3-Competition continues to improve the design of forecasting competitions: It examines more series than any previous competition, improves error analyses and includes commercial forecasting programs as competitors. To judge where to go from here, I step back to look at the M-Competitions as a whole. I discuss the advantages of the M-Competitions in hopes that they will be retained, describe how to gain additional benefit from future competitions, and finally, describe a low-cost approach to competitions.
J. Scott Armstrong. "Should We Redesign Forecasting Competitions?" Marketing Papers (2001).
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/j_scott_armstrong/78