Emmett Keeler (Ph.D. Mathematics, Harvard) is a Senior Mathematician at RAND, a
Professor at the Pardee RAND Graduate School, and an adjunct professor at UCLA School of
Public Health, teaching cost-effectiveness analysis, population models and decision
analysis. He has led many large health projects including the Childbirth Outcomes
project, and the Improving Chronic Illness Care Evaluation. In the RAND Health Insurance
Experiment, he studied the effects of alternative insurance plans on physiological
health, and the costs of episodes of treatment. The episodes results were used to build a
micro-simulation model which has been widely used to study spending and insurance choice,
and in particular Medical Savings Accounts. He leads the RAND cost-effectiveness resource
core of the UCLA Older Americans Independence Center, which provides help in design,
measurement and cost/effectiveness issues. He was the 2003 Distinguished Investigator of
AcademyHealth and has won the AHSR article of the year award three times. He is a member
of the Institute of Medicine and has served on several IOM and other NAS
committees.

Articles

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The Effects of Multi-Hospital Systems on Hospital Prices (with Glenn Melnick), Journal of Health Economics (2007)
US hospital prices are rising again after years of limited growth. We analyze trends in...
 

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Reducing the Global Burden of Tuberculosis: The Contribution of Improved Diagnostics (with Mark D. Perkins, Peter Small, Christy Hanson, Steven Reed, Jane Cunningham, Julia E. Aledort, Lee Hillborne, Maria E. Rafael, Federico Girosi, and Christopher Dye), Nature (2006)
Tuberculosis (TB) is a leading cause of disease and death, with ~2 billion people infected...
 

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The Lifetime Burden of Chronic Disease among the Elderly (with Geoffrey F. Joyce, Baoping Shang, and Dana P. Goldman), Health Affairs (2005)
The high costs of treating chronic diseases suggest that reducing their prevalence would improve Medicare's...
 

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The Value of Remaining Lifetime Is Close to Estimated Values of Life, Journal of Health Economics (2001)
Workers under 50 on average will spend 10–20% of their future hours working. So, assuming...
 

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The Changing Effects of Competition on Non-Profit and For-Profit Hospital Pricing Behavior (with Glenn Melnick and Jack Zwanziger), Journal of Health Economics (1999)
Has the nature of hospital competition changed from a medical arms race in which hospitals...