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Article
A Commodity Trading Model Based on a Neural Network-Expert System Hybrid
Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, 1991., IJCNN-91-Seattle
  • K. Bergerson
  • Donald C. Wunsch, Missouri University of Science and Technology
Abstract

Demonstrates a system that combines a neural network approach with an expert system to provide superior performance compared to either approach alone. Learning capability is provided in a software-based approach to commodity trading systems. The authors used the backpropagation network with some parameters selected experimentally. They used a human expert to implicitly define patterns, using hindsight, that an intelligent system might have been able to use for an accurate prediction. Desired outputs were found by a combination of observing the behavior of technical indices that normally precede a certain kind of market behavior, and by observing the actual market behavior in retrospect. Thus, the network learns to give signals based on data that look favorable to a human expert. The authors show the results of a rule-based daily trading system that has been augmented by a neural network market predictor.

Meeting Name
International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, 1991., IJCNN-91-Seattle
Department(s)
Electrical and Computer Engineering
Keywords and Phrases
  • Accurate Prediction,
  • Backpropagation Network,
  • Commodity Trading,
  • Commodity Trading Model,
  • Expert Systems,
  • Financial Data Processing,
  • Learning Capability,
  • Market Behavior,
  • Neural Nets,
  • Neural Network-Expert System Hybrid,
  • Performance,
  • Rule-Based Daily Trading System,
  • Software-Based Approach,
  • Technical Indices
Document Type
Article - Conference proceedings
Document Version
Final Version
File Type
text
Language(s)
English
Rights
© 1991 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), All rights reserved.
Publication Date
1-1-1991
Publication Date
01 Jan 1991
Citation Information
K. Bergerson and Donald C. Wunsch. "A Commodity Trading Model Based on a Neural Network-Expert System Hybrid" Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, 1991., IJCNN-91-Seattle (1991)
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/donald-wunsch/77/