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Unpublished Paper
“(Un)conventional Wisdom and Presidential Politics: The Myth of Convention Bumps and Favorite Son Vice-Presidents”
(2015)
Abstract
Conventional wisdom pervades US presidential politics. Among "old politicians' tales" are that a political party's placement of a national convention in a state can affecting presidential voting there, swinging or flipping it to its presidential candidate. Second, that the selection of a vice-presidential candidate as a favorite son (or daughter) will deliver a state's electoral votes to a presidential ticket. This article examines the placement of national party conventions and selection of vice-presidential candidates for Democratic and Republican Parties since 1948. It finds that presidential candidates do not earn a state bump or advantage by either locating a national convention in a specific state or by selecting a vice-presidential candidate from it.
Keywords
- Convention bumps; vice-presidential candidates,
- US presidential elections
Disciplines
Publication Date
2015
Citation Information
David A Schultz. "“(Un)conventional Wisdom and Presidential Politics: The Myth of Convention Bumps and Favorite Son Vice-Presidents”" (2015) Available at: http://works.bepress.com/david_schultz/18/