Access to university is becoming increasingly important as a determinant of occupational outcomes for young people. If there is to be genuine educational opportunity, then all young people in Victoria with the requisite talent should have an equal chance to compete for a university place. The findings of this report show that this is not the case currently. This report explores changes in the outcomes of Victorian Year 12 completers between 1993 and 2003. It is based on unpublished tertiary applicant data for all Victorian Year 12 VTAC applicants. The findings show that there has been a growing divergence in access to university places between those young people who attend Independent schools, many Catholic schools and some inner city Government secondary schools on the one hand, and young people who attend Government secondary schools elsewhere in Victoria on the other. This divergence has worsened since the year 2000. The divergence in outcomes reflects a decrease in the number of university places being offered and an increase in the number of Year 12 completers applying for tertiary education. As a consequence, there is now increased competition for university places. Government school students have suffered the most in this increasingly competitive environment. Despite a strong rhetorical commitment on the part of the Victorian Government to enhancing the equality of educational opportunity, this report shows that for a large proportion of Government school students, access to higher education has declined since the current Government came to office in 1999. Significant change will be necessary if this decline is to be arrested. [ISBN: 0732617995]