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Risk, Trade, Recovery and the Consideration of Real Options: The Imperative Coordination of Policy, Marketing, and Finance in the Wake of Catastrophe
Journal of Public Policy & Marketing
  • Mark R Manfredo, Arizona State University
  • Clifford J Shultz, Loyola University Chicago
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
10-1-2007
Disciplines
Abstract

Recovery from societal and market catastrophe is a daunting process requiring multi-function, systemic, and long-term efforts. Humanitarian aid and donor assistance rarely are sufficient. Trade and other forms of direct investment in devastated markets offer another kind of recovery-assistance. Risks encountered in recovering economies however can deter firms wishing to invest. A real options framework is applied to examine the financial feasibility of trading with recovering economies; the framework is applied to the countries of the war-disintegrated, former Yugoslavia. The real options framework considers the value of managerial flexibility in the presence of risks. Implications for policy, marketing management and export development, and ultimately economic and societal recovery in a number of contexts are discussed.

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Author Posting. © American Marketing Association, 2007. This article is posted here by permission of the American Marketing Association for personal use, not for redistribution. The article was published in Journal of Public Policy & Marketing, Volume 26, Issue 2, Fall 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1509/jppm.26.1.33

Creative Commons License
Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0
Citation Information
Mark R. Manfredo and Clifford J. Shultz II (2007) Risk, Trade, Recovery, and the Consideration of Real Options: The Imperative Coordination of Policy, Marketing, and Finance in the Wake of Catastrophe. Journal of Public Policy & Marketing: Spring 2007, Vol. 26, No. 1, pp. 33-48.