Articles

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Computing highly accurate or exact P-values using importance sampling, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis (2012)

Especially for discrete data, standard first order P-values can suffer from poor accuracy, even for...

 

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More powerful exact noninferiority and equivalence tests based on binary matched pairs, Statistics in Medicine (2008)

Assessing the therapeutic noninferiority or equivalence of one medical treatment compared to another is often...

 

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The economic value of improved environmental health in Victorian Rivers, Australasian Journal of Environmental Management (2008)

The non market valuation technique known as choice modelling was used to general benefit estimates...

 

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A New Exact and More Powerful Unconditional Test of no Treatment Effect from Binary Matched Pairs, Biometrics (2008)

We consider the problem of testing for a difference in the probability of success from...

 

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Multinomial Logistic Regression: An Application to Estimating Performance of a Multiple Screening Test for Bowel Cancer when Negatives are Unverified. (with Don J. Frommer), JRSSC (2008)

This paper describes a method of estimating the performance of a multiple screening test where...

 

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Exact Confidence Bounds for the Risk Ratio in 2x2 Tables with Structural Zero (with Max Moldovan), Biometrical Journal (2007)

This paper examines exact one-sided confidence limits for the risk ratio in a 2x2 table...

 

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Exact one-sided confidence limits for the difference between two correlated proportions (with Max V. Moldovan), Statistics in Medicine (2007)

We construct exact and optimal one-sided upper and lower confidence bounds for the difference between...

 

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Efficient and Exact Tests of the Risk Ratio in a Correlated 2x2 Table with Structural Zero, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis (2007)

For a correlated 2x2 table where the (01) cell is empty by design, the parameter...

 

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Unconditional efficient one-sided confidence limits for the odds ratio based on conditional likelihood (with Max Moldovan), Statistics in Medicine (2007)

We compare various one-sided confidence limits for the odds ratio in a 2x2 table. The...

 

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Improved Buehler limits based on refined designated statistics (with Paul Kabaila), Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference (2006)

The Buehler upper confidence limit is as small as possible, subject to the constraints that...

 

Working Papers

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A numerical investigation of the accuracy of parametric bootstrap for discrete data (2012)

Standard first order tests have size error that decreases as m^{-1/2} where m is a...

 

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Computing Highly Accurate Confidence Limits from Discrete data using Importance Sampling (2011)

For discrete parametric models, approximate confidence limits perform poorly from a strict frequentist perspective. In...

 

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A practical ad-hoc adjustment to the Simes P-value (2011)

The Simes P-value is more powerful than Bonferroni but still suffers from some conservatism when...

 

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Computing exact 1-sided limits for relative risk (2011)

A simple construction for optimal and exact upper confidence limits subject to an ordering constraint...

 

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Computing Highly Accurate or Exact P-values using Importance Sampling (revised) (2010)

Especially for discrete data, standard first order P-values can suffer from poor accuracy, even for...

 

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How close are alternative bootstrap P-values? (2010)

The bootstrap P-value based on a test statistic T is the exact tail probability of...

 

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Bootstrap and second order tests of risk difference, MBS Working paper (2009)

Standard approximate tests of the difference of two probabilities have type 1 error that can...

 

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Bootstrap P-values in Discrete Models: Asymptotic and non-asymptotic effects, Working paper (2009)

(This paper is a major revision of http://works.bepress.com/chris_lloyd/15/.) Standard first order P-values suffer from two...

 

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Estimated P-values in Discrete Models: Asymptotic and non-asymptotic effects, MBS Working Paper (2008)

The exact null distribution of a P-value typically depends on nuisance parameters unspecified under the...

 

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More powerful exact tests of equivalence, MBS Working Paper (2008)

In randomized clinical trials, it is often required to demonstrate that a new medical treatment...

 

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On approximate conditioning and higher order asymptotics for 2x2 tables, MBS Working papers (2008)

For testing canonical parameters in a continuous exponential family, P-values based on higher order asymptotic...

 

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Exact tests of non-inferiority from independent binomial data based on second order test statistics, MBS Working paper (2008)

Recent advances in likelihood asymptotics (Reid, 2003) lead to pivotal quantities that are closer to...

 

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Exact P-values for Discrete Models obtained by Estimation and Maximisation, MBS Working paper (2007)

In constructing exact tests, one must deal with the possible dependence of the P-value on...

 

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More Powerful Unconditional Tests of no Treatment Effect from Binary Matched Pairs, MBS working paper 2005-24 (2005)

This is the workign paper version that preceeded the paper "A New Exact and More...