Estimating Behavioral Response to the AIDS Epidemic
The elasticity of risky sexual behavior to changes in local HIV infection prevalence is estimated using a longitudinal survey of the sexual behavior and health of gay men in San Francisco during the 1980s. An average respondent decreases risky behavior by about 5% in response to a 10% increase in disease prevalence. The average response obscures substantial variation across respondents: High-risk people reduce risky behavior less than low-risk people as prevalence increases. This result is consistent with the predictions of theoretical economic epidemiology and has implications for epidemic dynamics.
M. Christopher Auld. "Estimating Behavioral Response to the AIDS Epidemic" Contributions in Economic Analysis & Policy 5.1 (2009).
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/chris_auld/1
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