Who Controls the Plate? Isolating the Pitcher/Batter Subgame
This paper combines an estimated expected run value equation with a probability model on the outcome of batted balls to isolate the game within a game. Using linear regression we were then able to determine the percentage of the outcome of an at bat that is controlled by a pitcher and the percentage that is controlled by the batter.
Benjamin Alamar Ph.D., Jeff Ma, Gabriel M. Desjardins, and Lucas Ruprecht. "Who Controls the Plate? Isolating the Pitcher/Batter Subgame" Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports 2.3 (2006).
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/benjamin_alamar/9
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