The Passing Premium Puzzle
The passing premium puzzle is the existence of a balance between the number of passing and running plays, even though there is a greater expected return in passing plays. The puzzle is documented using both historical trends of aggregate numbers and play by play data from the 2005 NFL season.
Benjamin C. Alamar. "The Passing Premium Puzzle" Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports 2.4 (2006).
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/benjamin_alamar/8
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