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Article
By How Much Does Conflict Reduce Financial Development?
WIDER-Discussion Papers
  • Tony Addison, United Nations University
  • Abdur Chowdhury, Marquette University
  • Syed M. Murshed, Coventry University
Document Type
Article
Language
eng
Format of Original
28 p.
Publication Date
1-1-2002
Publisher
United Nations University-World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
Disciplines
Abstract

Financial development is vulnerable to social conflict. Conflict reduces the demand for domestic currency as a medium of exchange and a store of value. Conflict also leads to poor quality governance, including weak regulation of the financial system, thereby undermining the sustainability of financial institutions. Conflict therefore reduces the social return to financial liberalization and other financial-sector reforms. This paper presents a theoretical model integrating the effects of conflict and financial liberalization, and then tests the model on data for 79 countries. Using an explanatory variable that measures the intensity of conflict (from low to high) the results show that conflict significantly reduces financial development, and that this negative effect increases as conflict intensifies. The paper concludes that conflict reduction is essential if financial reform is to have its full benefit for development.

Comments

Published version. WIDER-Discussion Papers, No. 48 (2002). Permalink. © 2002 UNU-WIDER. Used with permission.

Citation Information
Tony Addison, Abdur Chowdhury and Syed M. Murshed. "By How Much Does Conflict Reduce Financial Development?" WIDER-Discussion Papers (2002) ISSN: 9789291902187
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/abdur_chowdhury/91/