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Article
Four Scenarios of Development and the Role of Economic Policy
Journal of Development Studies
  • Fabrizio Carmignani, University of Queensland
  • Abdur Chowdhury, Marquette University
Document Type
Article
Language
eng
Format of Original
14 p.
Publication Date
3-1-2011
Publisher
Taylor & Francis (Routledge)
Disciplines
Abstract
We ask which economic policies can help a country create the most favourable conditions for development. We observe that the dynamics of several development indicators can be grouped into four clusters, each cluster corresponding to a different combination of growth and changes in inequality. Based on this observation, we define four different development scenarios and use limited dependent variable regressions to study how structural and policy factors affect a country's probability to achieve the most (or the least) favourable of these scenarios. Our results point to a comforting picture: through the choice of appropriate policies countries can effectively increase their chances to achieve the most favourable development scenario.
Comments

Accepted version. Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 47, No. 3 (March 2011): 519-532. DOI. © 2011 Taylor & Francis (Routledge). Used with permission.

Citation Information
Fabrizio Carmignani and Abdur Chowdhury. "Four Scenarios of Development and the Role of Economic Policy" Journal of Development Studies (2011) ISSN: 0022-0388
Available at: http://works.bepress.com/abdur_chowdhury/58/